Peter Obi of the Labour Party (LP), according to a recent poll conducted by Premise Data Corp for Bloomberg News, is expected to be the front-runner in the February 25 presidential election.
Remember that on September 28, 2022, a US news outlet published a first poll indicating that Obi was leading his rivals in the campaign for the 2023 presidential election.
Respondents to the app-based poll were chosen from quotas created by age, gender, and geography across the country’s six geopolitical zones. The poll polled 3,973 Nigerians between September 5–20.
However, a recent poll conducted between January 26 and February 4 by the news organization found that Obi was favoured over Bola Tinubu of the All Progressives Congress (APC) and Atiku Abubakar of the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP).
According to the survey results made public on Friday, Obi received 66% of the 93 percent of respondents’ ballots, while Tinubu received 18% and Atiku received 10%.
In a statement on Friday, Bloomberg News said: “San Francisco-based Premise polled 2,384 Nigerians from Jan. 26 to Feb. 4 via a smartphone app. Submissions were selected from quotas developed by age, gender, and location across the country’s six geopolitical zones, the company said. Results were then weighted against the original quotas to ensure national representation.”
2023: Fresh Poll Puts Peter Obi Ahead Of Atiku, Tinubu
This poll comes days after another poll conducted by Stears, a pan-African data company, put the LP presidential candidate as the favorite to win the February 25 presidential election.
The poll result puts Obi in the lead with 27% of all votes, followed by Tinubu with 15%, and Atiku with 12%. It also showed that Obi is the most universally accepted candidate and that Nigerians vote along religious lines.
The company said from the poll’s data set, Obi is the candidate that achieves at least 25 percent of the vote in the most geopolitical zones (five of six) among voters that declared their candidate preference.
It added that the LP flag bearer leads Tinubu (four out of five), while Atiku only secures 25 percent of the vote in two geopolitical zones.